Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 6:39 PM to 7:08 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 6:39 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 19.0706. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:08 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-22-2.75716.49Sep 3, 6:39 PM ET7:08 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:39 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-22-2.75716.49Sep 3, 6:39 PM ET7:08 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:39 PM ET19.0706
Projected value at 7:08 PM ET-0.261321
Actual value at 7:08 PM ET-17.6743
Projected change across the window-19.3319
Actual change across the window-36.7449
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.53×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.53 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (6:47 PM ET), where they sat 0.300176 apart, and furthest at bar 15 (6:54 PM ET) with a gap of 25.4593. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (6:49 PM ET), a move of -4.43676. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:40 PM3.957218.5926+14.6355
66:45 PM2.911658.69044+5.77879
126:51 PM1.28305-15.1625-16.4455
186:57 PM0.740753-21.2632-22.004
247:03 PM-0.170347-23.0221-22.8517
297:08 PM-0.261321-17.6743-17.4129

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.