Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 6:38 PM to 7:07 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 6:38 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 18.5926. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:07 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-22.03-2.99616.04Sep 3, 6:38 PM ET7:07 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:38 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-22.03-2.99616.04Sep 3, 6:38 PM ET7:07 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:38 PM ET18.5926
Projected value at 7:07 PM ET-0.411696
Actual value at 7:07 PM ET-12.9625
Projected change across the window-19.0043
Actual change across the window-31.5551
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.60×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.60 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 8 (6:45 PM ET), where they sat 0.0669148 apart, and furthest at bar 14 (6:52 PM ET) with a gap of 25.5081. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (7:07 PM ET), a move of +4.71176. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:39 PM4.3308417.7132+13.3824
66:44 PM2.555235.73456+3.17933
126:50 PM1.16734-19.1088-20.2762
186:56 PM0.532695-20.3368-20.8695
247:02 PM0.0245537-23.8574-23.8819
297:07 PM-0.411696-12.9625-12.5508

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.