Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 6:12 PM to 6:41 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 6:12 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -22.5956. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:41 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-20.16-2.02116.12Sep 3, 6:12 PM ET6:41 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:12 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-20.16-2.02116.12Sep 3, 6:12 PM ET6:41 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:12 PM ET-22.5956
Projected value at 6:41 PM ET-0.948633
Actual value at 6:41 PM ET16.6765
Projected change across the window+21.647
Actual change across the window+39.2721
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.55×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.55 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 4 (6:15 PM ET), where they sat 0.3806 apart, and furthest at bar 12 (6:24 PM ET) with a gap of 22.6073. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (6:22 PM ET), a move of +5.91324. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:13 PM-14.1616-20.661-6.49945
66:18 PM-10.3069-3.2+7.10691
126:24 PM-6.8536615.7537+22.6073
186:30 PM-4.1460712.2926+16.4387
246:36 PM-2.0681716.3309+18.3991
296:41 PM-0.94863316.6765+17.6251

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.