Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 6:08 PM to 6:37 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 6:08 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -12.9625. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:37 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-11.12.79616.69Sep 3, 6:08 PM ET6:37 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:08 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-11.12.79616.69Sep 3, 6:08 PM ET6:37 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:08 PM ET-12.9625
Projected value at 6:37 PM ET-1.15235
Actual value at 6:37 PM ET-0.1375
Projected change across the window+11.8101
Actual change across the window+12.825
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.92×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.92 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (6:37 PM ET), where they sat 1.01485 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (6:17 PM ET) with a gap of 23.0306. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (6:37 PM ET), a move of -7.09118. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:09 PM-10.794-8.77941+2.01461
66:14 PM-8.657626+14.6576
126:20 PM-5.6024911.7434+17.3459
186:26 PM-3.3168116.2272+19.544
246:32 PM-1.7627418.5544+20.3171
296:37 PM-1.15235-0.1375+1.01485

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.