Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 4:38 PM to 5:07 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 4:38 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -18.1022. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:07 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-17.09-5.0626.971Sep 3, 4:38 PM ET5:07 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:38 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-17.09-5.0626.971Sep 3, 4:38 PM ET5:07 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:38 PM ET-18.1022
Projected value at 5:07 PM ET0.528052
Actual value at 5:07 PM ET8.5875
Projected change across the window+18.6303
Actual change across the window+26.6897
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.70×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.70 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (5:03 PM ET), where they sat 1.416 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (4:39 PM ET) with a gap of 20.2594. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (4:44 PM ET), a move of +4.08162. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:39 PM1.54839-18.711-20.2594
64:44 PM2.73573-5.26176-7.99749
124:50 PM2.86294-1.13824-4.00118
184:56 PM2.48418-6.69338-9.17756
245:02 PM1.38957-0.676471-2.06604
295:07 PM0.5280528.5875+8.05945

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.