Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 3:01 PM to 3:30 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 3:01 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 55.0757. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:30 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-24.9112.5750.04Sep 3, 3:01 PM ET3:30 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:01 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-24.9112.5750.04Sep 3, 3:01 PM ET3:30 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:01 PM ET55.0757
Projected value at 3:30 PM ET-0.552127
Actual value at 3:30 PM ET25.2419
Projected change across the window-55.6279
Actual change across the window-29.8338
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.86×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.86 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (3:27 PM ET), where they sat 0.142341 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (3:01 PM ET) with a gap of 61.4476. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (3:03 PM ET), a move of -19.2257. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:02 PM-7.3814838.35+45.7315
63:07 PM-11.8129-13.5184-1.70545
123:13 PM-7.93532-22.3574-14.422
183:19 PM-5.64474-28.0691-22.4244
243:25 PM-2.1905-12.2868-10.0963
293:30 PM-0.55212725.2419+25.794

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.