Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 2:28 PM to 2:57 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 2:28 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 42.9441. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:57 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-43.6-2.74438.11Sep 3, 2:28 PM ET2:57 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:28 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-43.6-2.74438.11Sep 3, 2:28 PM ET2:57 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:28 PM ET42.9441
Projected value at 2:57 PM ET-1.04388
Actual value at 2:57 PM ET17.3919
Projected change across the window-43.988
Actual change across the window-25.5522
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.72×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.72 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (2:55 PM ET), where they sat 0.414628 apart, and furthest at bar 17 (2:45 PM ET) with a gap of 45.4153. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 25 (2:53 PM ET), a move of +10.5404. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:29 PM1.596143.6015+42.0054
62:34 PM-4.2973629.6618+33.9591
122:40 PM-4.20966-9.53603-5.32637
182:46 PM-3.51464-47.6654-44.1508
242:52 PM-1.37593-28.4294-27.0535
292:57 PM-1.0438817.3919+18.4358

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.