Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 2:23 PM to 2:52 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 2:23 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 36.5096. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:52 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-42.357.87158.09Sep 3, 2:23 PM ET2:52 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:23 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-42.357.87158.09Sep 3, 2:23 PM ET2:52 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:23 PM ET36.5096
Projected value at 2:52 PM ET-2.11235
Actual value at 2:52 PM ET64.8324
Projected change across the window-38.6219
Actual change across the window+28.3228
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.36×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.36 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (2:45 PM ET), where they sat 1.57981 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (2:52 PM ET) with a gap of 66.9447. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (2:50 PM ET), a move of +13.3654. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:24 PM6.4810729.6618+23.1807
62:29 PM0.987699-3.09191-4.07961
122:35 PM-3.00605-49.0904-46.0844
182:41 PM-2.8545-35.8118-32.9573
242:47 PM-3.084817.3919+20.4767
292:52 PM-2.1123564.8324+66.9447

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.