Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 1:52 PM to 2:21 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 1:52 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 71.8118. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:21 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-6.76635.5477.84Sep 3, 1:52 PM ET2:21 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:52 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-6.76635.5477.84Sep 3, 1:52 PM ET2:21 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:52 PM ET71.8118
Projected value at 2:21 PM ET1.01881
Actual value at 2:21 PM ET-12.4471
Projected change across the window-70.793
Actual change across the window-84.2588
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.84×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.84 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (2:18 PM ET), where they sat 1.96508 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (2:01 PM ET) with a gap of 67.782. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (2:05 PM ET), a move of -19.2066. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:53 PM22.334476.0919+53.7575
61:58 PM20.444274.8456+54.4014
122:04 PM11.941257.2368+45.2956
182:10 PM6.1741226.6088+20.4347
242:16 PM2.239612.0596+9.81996
292:21 PM1.01881-12.4471-13.4659

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.