Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 1:45 PM to 2:14 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 77.2919. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:14 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-7.70635.0477.78Sep 3, 1:45 PM ET2:14 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:45 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-7.70635.0477.78Sep 3, 1:45 PM ET2:14 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:45 PM ET77.2919
Projected value at 2:14 PM ET0.239431
Actual value at 2:14 PM ET17.439
Projected change across the window-77.0525
Actual change across the window-59.8529
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.29×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.29 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (2:11 PM ET), where they sat 0.105407 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (1:47 PM ET) with a gap of 62.2305. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (1:51 PM ET), a move of -19.2066. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:46 PM22.635781.9816+59.3459
61:51 PM17.231838.0301+20.7983
121:57 PM8.8014328.8088+20.0074
182:03 PM3.02475.7625+2.7378
242:09 PM0.367471-10.8051-11.1726
292:14 PM0.23943117.439+17.1995

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.