Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 1:43 PM to 2:12 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 1:43 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 83.5191. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:12 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-7.70635.0477.78Sep 3, 1:43 PM ET2:12 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:43 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-7.70635.0477.78Sep 3, 1:43 PM ET2:12 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:43 PM ET83.5191
Projected value at 2:12 PM ET1.08238
Actual value at 2:12 PM ET14.8294
Projected change across the window-82.4367
Actual change across the window-68.6897
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.20×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.20 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 8 (1:50 PM ET), where they sat 0.0998355 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:43 PM ET) with a gap of 60.8298. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (1:47 PM ET), a move of -19.2066. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:44 PM23.871781.939+58.0673
61:49 PM19.912922.2919+2.37898
121:55 PM12.632825.7978+13.165
182:01 PM6.16654-4.99559-11.1621
242:07 PM2.463070.6375-1.82557
292:12 PM1.0823814.8294+13.747

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.