Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 1:38 PM to 2:07 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 1:38 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 22.2919. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:07 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-10.947.68126.31Sep 3, 1:38 PM ET2:07 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:38 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-10.947.68126.31Sep 3, 1:38 PM ET2:07 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:38 PM ET22.2919
Projected value at 2:07 PM ET0.439024
Actual value at 2:07 PM ET1.75515
Projected change across the window-21.8529
Actual change across the window-20.5368
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.06×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.06 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (1:57 PM ET), where they sat 0.259382 apart, and furthest at bar 15 (1:53 PM ET) with a gap of 25.1715. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (1:41 PM ET), a move of +7.59191. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:39 PM19.880718.5191-1.36159
61:44 PM19.040825.7978+6.75698
121:50 PM13.5287-4.99559-18.5243
181:56 PM8.980630.6375-8.34313
242:02 PM2.6522710.6699+8.01759
292:07 PM0.4390241.75515+1.31612

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.