Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 12:07 PM to 12:36 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 12:07 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -0.317647. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:36 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-36.45-19.52-2.591Sep 3, 12:07 PM ET12:36 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:07 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-36.45-19.52-2.591Sep 3, 12:07 PM ET12:36 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:07 PM ET-0.317647
Projected value at 12:36 PM ET-2.77347
Actual value at 12:36 PM ET-4.17132
Projected change across the window-2.45582
Actual change across the window-3.85368
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.64×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.64 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 5 (12:11 PM ET), where they sat 0.233493 apart, and furthest at bar 15 (12:22 PM ET) with a gap of 27.925. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (12:27 PM ET), a move of +5.59191. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:08 PM-8.56334-1.89926+6.66407
612:13 PM-12.1282-20.5221-8.39386
1212:19 PM-10.666-34.0243-23.3583
1812:25 PM-10.4694-32.5676-22.0983
2412:31 PM-6.28361-16.3941-10.1105
2912:36 PM-2.77347-4.17132-1.39786

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.