Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 11:28 AM to 11:57 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 11:28 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 17.8309. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:57 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

2.45933.5364.61Sep 3, 11:28 AM ET11:57 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:28 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

2.45933.5364.61Sep 3, 11:28 AM ET11:57 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:28 AM ET17.8309
Projected value at 11:57 AM ET-1.55576
Actual value at 11:57 AM ET-0.857353
Projected change across the window-19.3866
Actual change across the window-18.6882
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.04×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.04 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (11:55 AM ET), where they sat 0.696178 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (11:30 AM ET) with a gap of 50.8475. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 23 (11:51 AM ET), a move of -6.95956. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:29 AM68.782118.489-50.2931
611:34 AM51.83322.8309-29.0022
1211:40 AM33.744929.5971-4.14782
1811:46 AM17.699129.7743+12.0752
2411:52 AM7.226631.16103-6.0656
2911:57 AM-1.55576-0.857353+0.698405

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.