Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 11:22 AM to 11:51 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 11:22 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 22.8309. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:51 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-2.27830.1762.62Sep 3, 11:22 AM ET11:51 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:22 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-2.27830.1762.62Sep 3, 11:22 AM ET11:51 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:22 AM ET22.8309
Projected value at 11:51 AM ET2.14506
Actual value at 11:51 AM ET-6.63603
Projected change across the window-20.6858
Actual change across the window-29.4669
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.70×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.70 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (11:41 AM ET), where they sat 0.258807 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:22 AM ET) with a gap of 44.1466. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (11:39 AM ET), a move of -6.95956. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:23 AM59.484326.1037-33.3806
611:28 AM29.323329.5971+0.273744
1211:34 AM5.6184529.7743+24.1558
1811:40 AM-0.02780481.16103+1.18883
2411:46 AM-2.92777-0.999265+1.9285
2911:51 AM2.14506-6.63603-8.78109

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.