Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 11:17 AM to 11:46 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 11:17 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 30.6559. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:46 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.95742.2386.42Sep 3, 11:17 AM ET11:46 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:17 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.95742.2386.42Sep 3, 11:17 AM ET11:46 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:17 AM ET30.6559
Projected value at 11:46 AM ET-4.7636
Actual value at 11:46 AM ET-0.726471
Projected change across the window-35.4195
Actual change across the window-31.3824
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.13×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.13 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (11:45 AM ET), where they sat 1.04054 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:17 AM ET) with a gap of 61.6963. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (11:29 AM ET), a move of -6.95956. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:18 AM89.898429.5971-60.3014
611:23 AM65.931230.2007-35.7304
1211:29 AM34.59233.675-30.9173
1811:35 AM9.89296-0.857353-10.7503
2411:41 AM1.91715-6.63603-8.55318
2911:46 AM-4.7636-0.726471+4.03713

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.