Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 10:06 AM to 10:35 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 10:06 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -12.0757. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:35 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-33.8-19.61-5.423Sep 3, 10:06 AM ET10:35 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:06 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-33.8-19.61-5.423Sep 3, 10:06 AM ET10:35 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:06 AM ET-12.0757
Projected value at 10:35 AM ET-3.51674
Actual value at 10:35 AM ET-19.7426
Projected change across the window+8.55899
Actual change across the window-7.66691
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.12×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.12 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (10:22 AM ET), where they sat 0.0603726 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:06 AM ET) with a gap of 23.3652. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (10:09 AM ET), a move of -3.58382. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:07 AM-33.0608-14.1419+18.9189
610:12 AM-35.1722-29.514+5.65825
1210:18 AM-30.1275-22.0801+8.04736
1810:24 AM-17.9565-20.1265-2.17001
2410:30 AM-6.87101-22.4581-15.5871
2910:35 AM-3.51674-19.7426-16.2259

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.