Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 9:03 AM to 9:32 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 9:03 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -13.0544. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:32 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-12.82-2.2328.358Sep 3, 9:03 AM ET9:32 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:03 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-12.82-2.2328.358Sep 3, 9:03 AM ET9:32 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:03 AM ET-13.0544
Projected value at 9:32 AM ET-4.14915
Actual value at 9:32 AM ET-3.57794
Projected change across the window+8.90526
Actual change across the window+9.47647
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.94×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.94 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (9:19 AM ET), where they sat 0.129255 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (9:03 AM ET) with a gap of 22.8351. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (9:15 AM ET), a move of +2.14559. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:04 AM1.59043-12.4272-14.0176
69:09 AM-3.58564-11.8757-8.29009
129:15 AM-7.64446-11.5199-3.87539
189:21 AM-11.3462-11.161+0.185148
249:27 AM-10.5199-6.61103+3.90885
299:32 AM-4.14915-3.57794+0.57121

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.