Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 7:03 AM to 7:32 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 7:03 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 10.9772. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:32 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-6.381.7539.885Sep 3, 7:03 AM ET7:32 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:03 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-6.381.7539.885Sep 3, 7:03 AM ET7:32 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:03 AM ET10.9772
Projected value at 7:32 AM ET-0.627227
Actual value at 7:32 AM ET0.902941
Projected change across the window-11.6044
Actual change across the window-10.0743
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.15×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.15 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (7:12 AM ET), where they sat 0.183906 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (7:03 AM ET) with a gap of 12.5814. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (7:05 AM ET), a move of -5.59265. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:04 AM-2.447776.10221+8.54997
67:09 AM-3.82201-7.31765-3.49564
127:15 AM-4.20781-3.40074+0.807074
187:21 AM-3.213475.40809+8.62156
247:27 AM-2.160951.45+3.61095
297:32 AM-0.6272270.902941+1.53017

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.