Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 7:02 AM to 7:31 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 7:02 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 6.10221. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:31 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-6.644-0.48015.684Sep 3, 7:02 AM ET7:31 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:02 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-6.644-0.48015.684Sep 3, 7:02 AM ET7:31 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:02 AM ET6.10221
Projected value at 7:31 AM ET-0.958655
Actual value at 7:31 AM ET-0.723529
Projected change across the window-7.06086
Actual change across the window-6.82574
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.03×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.03 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (7:31 AM ET), where they sat 0.235125 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (7:02 AM ET) with a gap of 7.83771. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (7:03 AM ET), a move of -5.59265. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:03 AM-1.153290.509559+1.66285
67:08 AM-1.51452-5.99191-4.47739
127:14 AM-2.04094-3.03088-0.989938
187:20 AM-0.932716.41397+7.34668
247:26 AM-2.310631.33897+3.6496
297:31 AM-0.958655-0.723529+0.235125

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.