Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 6:54 AM to 7:23 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 6:54 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -4.31618. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:23 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.022-1.2135.597Sep 3, 6:54 AM ET7:23 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:54 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.022-1.2135.597Sep 3, 6:54 AM ET7:23 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:54 AM ET-4.31618
Projected value at 7:23 AM ET-0.0854652
Actual value at 7:23 AM ET-7.16397
Projected change across the window+4.23071
Actual change across the window-2.84779
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.49×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.49 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 1 (6:54 AM ET), where they sat 0.127952 apart, and furthest at bar 27 (7:21 AM ET) with a gap of 9.32963. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 24 (7:18 AM ET), a move of -2.82794. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:55 AM-1.8114-3.72868-1.91727
67:00 AM0.7780641.97426+1.1962
127:06 AM0.8213152.70662+1.8853
187:12 AM0.4980640.815441+0.317377
247:18 AM0.0541075-6.02721-6.08131
297:23 AM-0.0854652-7.16397-7.07851

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.