Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 6:46 AM to 7:15 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 6:46 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 5.40809. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:15 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.022-1.2135.597Sep 3, 6:46 AM ET7:15 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:46 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.022-1.2135.597Sep 3, 6:46 AM ET7:15 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:46 AM ET5.40809
Projected value at 7:15 AM ET-1.52224
Actual value at 7:15 AM ET-3.37574
Projected change across the window-6.93033
Actual change across the window-8.78382
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.79×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.79 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (6:58 AM ET), where they sat 0.0372936 apart, and furthest at bar 19 (7:05 AM ET) with a gap of 8.21047. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (7:02 AM ET), a move of -2.82794. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:47 AM0.9690386.41397+5.44493
66:52 AM-0.5212751.45+1.97128
126:58 AM-0.686236-0.723529-0.0372936
187:04 AM-0.786933-8.93676-8.14983
247:10 AM0.483447-4.85882-5.34227
297:15 AM-1.52224-3.37574-1.8535

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.