Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 5:25 AM to 5:54 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 5:25 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -69.4882. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:54 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-66.1-35.05-4.011Sep 3, 5:25 AM ET5:54 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:25 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-66.1-35.05-4.011Sep 3, 5:25 AM ET5:54 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:25 AM ET-69.4882
Projected value at 5:54 AM ET0.158334
Actual value at 5:54 AM ET-9.57794
Projected change across the window+69.6466
Actual change across the window+59.9103
Bars moving the same direction28 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.16×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.16 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 97% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (5:54 AM ET), where they sat 9.73628 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (5:26 AM ET) with a gap of 52.6195. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (5:46 AM ET), a move of +4.69632. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:26 AM-17.6474-70.2669-52.6195
65:31 AM-14.5507-53.4574-38.9067
125:37 AM-10.6747-41.7478-31.0731
185:43 AM-6.87011-35.2897-28.4196
245:49 AM-2.98695-15.4147-12.4278
295:54 AM0.158334-9.57794-9.73628

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.