Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 5:23 AM to 5:52 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 5:23 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -70.2669. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:52 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-66.18-35.79-5.393Sep 3, 5:23 AM ET5:52 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:23 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-66.18-35.79-5.393Sep 3, 5:23 AM ET5:52 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:23 AM ET-70.2669
Projected value at 5:52 AM ET-1.3108
Actual value at 5:52 AM ET-8.38897
Projected change across the window+68.9561
Actual change across the window+61.8779
Bars moving the same direction27 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.11×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.11 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 93% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (5:52 AM ET), where they sat 7.07817 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (5:23 AM ET) with a gap of 56.0188. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (5:43 AM ET), a move of +4.69632. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:24 AM-16.836-69.0412-52.2051
65:29 AM-18.5969-50.1-31.5031
125:35 AM-13.9373-41.3706-27.4333
185:41 AM-9.65679-32.7044-23.0476
245:47 AM-5.50037-14.139-8.6386
295:52 AM-1.3108-8.38897-7.07817

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.