Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 5:22 AM to 5:51 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 5:22 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -69.0412. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:51 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-65.04-35.28-5.509Sep 3, 5:22 AM ET5:51 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:22 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-65.04-35.28-5.509Sep 3, 5:22 AM ET5:51 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:22 AM ET-69.0412
Projected value at 5:51 AM ET-1.51128
Actual value at 5:51 AM ET-8.01176
Projected change across the window+67.5299
Actual change across the window+61.0294
Bars moving the same direction26 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.11×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.11 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 90% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (5:50 AM ET), where they sat 6.15327 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (5:22 AM ET) with a gap of 59.1228. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (5:41 AM ET), a move of +4.69632. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:23 AM-13.778-64.8007-51.0227
65:28 AM-17.0221-47.3221-30.2999
125:34 AM-12.1619-40.9265-28.7645
185:40 AM-8.96291-29.2978-20.3349
245:46 AM-4.24882-13.7382-9.48941
295:51 AM-1.51128-8.01176-6.50048

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.