Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 5:21 AM to 5:50 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 5:21 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -61.6801. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:50 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-58.11-31.54-4.972Sep 3, 5:21 AM ET5:50 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:21 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-58.11-31.54-4.972Sep 3, 5:21 AM ET5:50 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:21 AM ET-61.6801
Projected value at 5:50 AM ET-1.40311
Actual value at 5:50 AM ET-8.33015
Projected change across the window+60.277
Actual change across the window+53.35
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.13×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.13 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (5:48 AM ET), where they sat 5.88266 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (5:21 AM ET) with a gap of 56.59. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (5:38 AM ET), a move of +4.69632. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:22 AM-6.93545-57.3596-50.4241
65:27 AM-9.39659-43.7191-34.3225
125:33 AM-6.6525-38.9662-32.3137
185:39 AM-4.98724-20.8309-15.8436
245:45 AM-3.10114-11.0801-7.979
295:50 AM-1.40311-8.33015-6.92704

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.