Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 5:13 AM to 5:42 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 5:13 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -41.7478. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:42 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-39.31-21.15-2.997Sep 3, 5:13 AM ET5:42 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:13 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-39.31-21.15-2.997Sep 3, 5:13 AM ET5:42 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:13 AM ET-41.7478
Projected value at 5:42 AM ET-0.558254
Actual value at 5:42 AM ET-15.4213
Projected change across the window+41.1895
Actual change across the window+26.3265
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.56×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.56 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (5:32 AM ET), where they sat 6.51041 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (5:13 AM ET) with a gap of 36.4303. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (5:22 AM ET), a move of +4.69632. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:14 AM-5.29297-41.3706-36.0776
65:19 AM-4.65578-35.2897-30.6339
125:25 AM-2.63732-15.4147-12.7774
185:31 AM-1.50687-8.38897-6.8821
245:37 AM-0.561319-8.93676-8.37545
295:42 AM-0.558254-15.4213-14.8631

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.