Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 5:12 AM to 5:41 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 5:12 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -41.3706. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:41 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-38.85-20.08-1.313Sep 3, 5:12 AM ET5:41 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:12 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-38.85-20.08-1.313Sep 3, 5:12 AM ET5:41 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:12 AM ET-41.3706
Projected value at 5:41 AM ET-0.360158
Actual value at 5:41 AM ET-15.7559
Projected change across the window+41.0104
Actual change across the window+25.6147
Bars moving the same direction25 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.60×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.60 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 86% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (5:31 AM ET), where they sat 8.50284 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (5:13 AM ET) with a gap of 36.888. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (5:20 AM ET), a move of +4.69632. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:13 AM-4.03852-40.9265-36.888
65:18 AM-1.31335-32.7044-31.3911
125:24 AM0.632136-14.139-14.7711
185:30 AM0.644875-8.01176-8.65664
245:36 AM0.297805-10.1912-10.489
295:41 AM-0.360158-15.7559-15.3957

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.