Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 5:05 AM to 5:34 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 5:05 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -29.2978. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:34 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-27.61-15.04-2.466Sep 3, 5:05 AM ET5:34 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:05 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-27.61-15.04-2.466Sep 3, 5:05 AM ET5:34 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:05 AM ET-29.2978
Projected value at 5:34 AM ET-0.843777
Actual value at 5:34 AM ET-7.70221
Projected change across the window+28.454
Actual change across the window+21.5956
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.32×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.32 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 12 (5:16 AM ET), where they sat 3.57725 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (5:05 AM ET) with a gap of 17.1917. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (5:06 AM ET), a move of +4.69632. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:06 AM-11.2853-24.6015-13.3162
65:11 AM-6.97535-13.7382-6.76288
125:17 AM-3.88472-7.89044-4.00572
185:23 AM-1.86286-11.5728-9.70993
245:29 AM-1.26778-14.6404-13.3727
295:34 AM-0.843777-7.70221-6.85843

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.