Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 3:24 AM to 3:53 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 3:24 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 21.0603. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:53 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.885314.4928.09Sep 3, 3:24 AM ET3:53 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:24 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.885314.4928.09Sep 3, 3:24 AM ET3:53 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:24 AM ET21.0603
Projected value at 3:53 AM ET-0.941382
Actual value at 3:53 AM ET0.571324
Projected change across the window-22.0017
Actual change across the window-20.489
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.07×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.07 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (3:51 AM ET), where they sat 0.228986 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (3:27 AM ET) with a gap of 15.05. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (3:26 AM ET), a move of +3.76176. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:25 AM15.791524.4544+8.66289
63:30 AM11.499923.1559+11.656
123:36 AM5.5034712.1419+6.63844
183:42 AM3.603727.78309+4.17937
243:48 AM0.961307-0.0492647-1.01057
293:53 AM-0.9413820.571324+1.51271

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.