Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 3:23 AM to 3:52 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 3:23 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 28.2162. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:52 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.39514.7628.12Sep 3, 3:23 AM ET3:52 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:23 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.39514.7628.12Sep 3, 3:23 AM ET3:52 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:23 AM ET28.2162
Projected value at 3:52 AM ET-0.252191
Actual value at 3:52 AM ET0.818382
Projected change across the window-28.4684
Actual change across the window-27.3978
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.04×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.04 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (3:50 AM ET), where they sat 0.354624 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (3:24 AM ET) with a gap of 14.8603. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (3:28 AM ET), a move of -3.67279. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:24 AM15.054429.9147+14.8603
63:29 AM10.808316.8949+6.08657
123:35 AM4.097310.9419+6.84461
183:41 AM2.8294.76912+1.94011
243:47 AM0.766656-0.4-1.16666
293:52 AM-0.2521910.818382+1.07057

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.