Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 3:22 AM to 3:51 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 3:22 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 29.9147. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:51 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.39514.7628.12Sep 3, 3:22 AM ET3:51 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:22 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.39514.7628.12Sep 3, 3:22 AM ET3:51 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:22 AM ET29.9147
Projected value at 3:51 AM ET0.863546
Actual value at 3:51 AM ET0.113971
Projected change across the window-29.0512
Actual change across the window-29.8007
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.97×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.97 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (3:48 AM ET), where they sat 0.0880814 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (3:22 AM ET) with a gap of 15.3665. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (3:26 AM ET), a move of -3.67279. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:23 AM15.148228.5919+13.4437
63:28 AM11.796815.3904+3.59362
123:34 AM4.072149.84044+5.7683
183:40 AM2.799283.01029+0.211013
243:46 AM1.38192-0.163971-1.54589
293:51 AM0.8635460.113971-0.749575

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.