Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 3:19 AM to 3:48 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 3:19 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 25.5515. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:48 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.78411.0223.83Sep 3, 3:19 AM ET3:48 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:19 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.78411.0223.83Sep 3, 3:19 AM ET3:48 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:19 AM ET25.5515
Projected value at 3:48 AM ET0.418901
Actual value at 3:48 AM ET-3.50441
Projected change across the window-25.1326
Actual change across the window-29.0559
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.86×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.86 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (3:43 AM ET), where they sat 0.0717877 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (3:19 AM ET) with a gap of 11.638. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (3:21 AM ET), a move of -3.67279. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:20 AM13.569523.1559+9.58636
63:25 AM9.0399513.2044+4.16446
123:31 AM3.149179.53603+6.38686
183:37 AM-1.00287-0.0389706+0.963896
243:43 AM0.6431110.571324-0.0717877
293:48 AM0.418901-3.50441-3.92331

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.