Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 2:13 AM to 2:42 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 2:13 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 15.5772. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:42 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-24.45-5.69713.06Sep 3, 2:13 AM ET2:42 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:13 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-24.45-5.69713.06Sep 3, 2:13 AM ET2:42 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:13 AM ET15.5772
Projected value at 2:42 AM ET-3.28659
Actual value at 2:42 AM ET-5.60956
Projected change across the window-18.8638
Actual change across the window-21.1868
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.89×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.89 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 4 (2:16 AM ET), where they sat 0.272287 apart, and furthest at bar 11 (2:24 AM ET) with a gap of 22.5146. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (2:15 AM ET), a move of -6.00368. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:14 AM1.4172411.864+10.4467
62:19 AM-0.581676-12.2471-11.6654
122:25 AM-4.2999-26.439-22.1391
182:31 AM-4.09615-15.0132-10.9171
242:37 AM-4.45598-14.2022-9.74623
292:42 AM-3.28659-5.60956-2.32297

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.