Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 2:12 AM to 2:41 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 2:12 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 11.864. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:41 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-24.67-7.5549.565Sep 3, 2:12 AM ET2:41 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:12 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-24.67-7.5549.565Sep 3, 2:12 AM ET2:41 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:12 AM ET11.864
Projected value at 2:41 AM ET-1.39512
Actual value at 2:41 AM ET-4.32941
Projected change across the window-13.2591
Actual change across the window-16.1934
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.82×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.82 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 5 (2:16 AM ET), where they sat 1.01295 apart, and furthest at bar 11 (2:23 AM ET) with a gap of 15.8636. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (2:13 AM ET), a move of -6.00368. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:13 AM1.374295.86029+4.48601
62:18 AM-8.73603-15.6338-6.89779
122:24 AM-10.4087-24.8154-14.4067
182:30 AM-8.61472-13.4471-4.83234
242:36 AM-4.31833-14.6029-10.2846
292:41 AM-1.39512-4.32941-2.93429

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.