Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 1:31 AM to 2:00 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 1:31 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -3.37647. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:00 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-37.03-7.8921.25Sep 3, 1:31 AM ET2:00 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:31 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-37.03-7.8921.25Sep 3, 1:31 AM ET2:00 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:31 AM ET-3.37647
Projected value at 2:00 AM ET3.03898
Actual value at 2:00 AM ET-0.119853
Projected change across the window+6.41545
Actual change across the window+3.25662
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.97×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.97 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (1:59 AM ET), where they sat 0.989124 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:31 AM ET) with a gap of 37.5662. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (1:37 AM ET), a move of +6.92206. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:32 AM-33.5342-6.90074+26.6334
61:37 AM-19.60369.78235+29.386
121:43 AM-8.9654524.5235+33.489
181:49 AM0.74281712.9662+12.2234
241:55 AM1.9449516.2051+14.2602
292:00 AM3.03898-0.119853-3.15883

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.