Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 3, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 3, 2026, 12:23 AM to 12:52 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 3, 2026 at 12:23 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -33.436. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:52 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-32.38-7.55917.26Sep 3, 12:23 AM ET12:52 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:23 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-32.38-7.55917.26Sep 3, 12:23 AM ET12:52 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:23 AM ET-33.436
Projected value at 12:52 AM ET-1.10853
Actual value at 12:52 AM ET20.5904
Projected change across the window+32.3275
Actual change across the window+54.0265
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.60×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.60 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (12:42 AM ET), where they sat 0.266969 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:23 AM ET) with a gap of 35.1792. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (12:31 AM ET), a move of +5.82868. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:24 AM0.0624718-34.6676-34.7301
612:29 AM-2.63019-30.0353-27.4051
1212:35 AM-3.15036-13.436-10.2857
1812:41 AM-4.00107-4.88897-0.887903
2412:47 AM-2.5708312.8956+15.4664
2912:52 AM-1.1085320.5904+21.699

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.