Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 11:54 PM to 12:23 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 11:54 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 20.5904. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:23 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-4.5829.21623.01Sep 2, 11:54 PM ET12:23 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:54 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-4.5829.21623.01Sep 2, 11:54 PM ET12:23 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:54 PM ET20.5904
Projected value at 12:23 AM ET0.0259428
Actual value at 12:23 AM ET-6.43456
Projected change across the window-20.5645
Actual change across the window-27.025
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.76×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.76 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (12:13 AM ET), where they sat 0.261757 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (11:58 PM ET) with a gap of 18.9558. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (12:03 AM ET), a move of -3.96985. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:55 PM7.8270521.3809+13.5538
612:00 AM5.1037221.4169+16.3132
1212:06 AM3.402485.77941+2.37693
1812:12 AM2.365831.44853-0.917302
2412:18 AM1.202670.638971-0.563698
2912:23 AM0.0259428-6.43456-6.4605

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.