Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 11:52 PM to 12:21 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 11:52 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 21.3809. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:21 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.2668.85222.97Sep 2, 11:52 PM ET12:21 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:52 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.2668.85222.97Sep 2, 11:52 PM ET12:21 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:52 PM ET21.3809
Projected value at 12:21 AM ET0.0278292
Actual value at 12:21 AM ET-7.1625
Projected change across the window-21.3531
Actual change across the window-28.5434
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.75×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.75 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (12:10 AM ET), where they sat 0.0945449 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (11:55 PM ET) with a gap of 17.2532. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (12:00 AM ET), a move of -3.96985. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:53 PM7.6621922.6037+14.9415
611:58 PM6.1667418.2066+12.0399
1212:04 AM4.280473.90294-0.377531
1812:10 AM2.541482.63603+0.0945449
2412:16 AM1.47291-1.14338-2.61629
2912:21 AM0.0278292-7.1625-7.19033

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.