Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 11:50 PM to 12:19 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 11:50 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 24.8662. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:19 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-7.3797.72922.84Sep 2, 11:50 PM ET12:19 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:50 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-7.3797.72922.84Sep 2, 11:50 PM ET12:19 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:50 PM ET24.8662
Projected value at 12:19 AM ET-0.78536
Actual value at 12:19 AM ET-9.40809
Projected change across the window-25.6515
Actual change across the window-34.2743
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.75×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.75 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (12:10 AM ET), where they sat 0.122023 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:50 PM ET) with a gap of 22.5254. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (11:55 PM ET), a move of -3.96985. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:51 PM3.0849224.15+21.0651
611:56 PM4.732388.43309+3.70071
1212:02 AM2.099880.1625-1.93738
1812:08 AM1.203122.92132+1.7182
2412:14 AM-0.479539-5.13824-4.6587
2912:19 AM-0.78536-9.40809-8.62273

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.