Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 11:45 PM to 12:14 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 11:45 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 10.5191. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:14 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-9.1950.041549.279Sep 2, 11:45 PM ET12:14 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:45 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-9.1950.041549.279Sep 2, 11:45 PM ET12:14 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:45 PM ET10.5191
Projected value at 12:14 AM ET-0.639219
Actual value at 12:14 AM ET-9.60882
Projected change across the window-11.1583
Actual change across the window-20.1279
Bars moving the same direction23 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.55×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.55 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 79% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 16 (12:00 AM ET), where they sat 0.00773862 apart, and furthest at bar 27 (12:12 AM ET) with a gap of 9.65118. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (11:46 PM ET), a move of -2.08603. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:46 PM6.691138.43309+1.74196
611:51 PM2.311071.10368-1.20739
1211:57 PM1.576583.25074+1.67415
1812:03 AM0.0568062-3.80956-3.86637
2412:09 AM0.211176-9.40809-9.61926
2912:14 AM-0.639219-9.60882-8.9696

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.