Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 10:29 PM to 10:58 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 10:29 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 23.5632. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:58 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-3.06412.0827.23Sep 2, 10:29 PM ET10:58 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:29 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-3.06412.0827.23Sep 2, 10:29 PM ET10:58 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:29 PM ET23.5632
Projected value at 10:58 PM ET1.04759
Actual value at 10:58 PM ET-5.09853
Projected change across the window-22.5156
Actual change across the window-28.6618
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.79×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.79 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (10:48 PM ET), where they sat 0.157619 apart, and furthest at bar 12 (10:41 PM ET) with a gap of 18.4932. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (10:45 PM ET), a move of -4.79265. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:30 PM13.754926.4081+12.6532
610:35 PM9.6972825.7963+16.099
1210:41 PM3.4075421.9007+18.4932
1810:47 PM0.9869262.89706+1.91013
2410:53 PM0.8122881.03824+0.225948
2910:58 PM1.04759-5.09853-6.14612

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.