Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 9:29 PM to 9:58 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 9:29 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -18.7838. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:58 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-29-5.36118.28Sep 2, 9:29 PM ET9:58 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:29 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-29-5.36118.28Sep 2, 9:29 PM ET9:58 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:29 PM ET-18.7838
Projected value at 9:58 PM ET1.4145
Actual value at 9:58 PM ET13.7647
Projected change across the window+20.1983
Actual change across the window+32.5485
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.62×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.62 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 15 (9:43 PM ET), where they sat 2.124 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (9:38 PM ET) with a gap of 26.5161. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (9:42 PM ET), a move of +9.73603. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:30 PM-7.33553-18.3235-10.988
69:35 PM-4.89138-26.0044-21.113
129:41 PM-5.0982-19.8257-14.7275
189:47 PM-4.0029813.9029+17.9059
249:53 PM-0.95855618.1956+19.1541
299:58 PM1.414513.7647+12.3502

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.