Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 9:26 PM to 9:55 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 9:26 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -19.439. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:55 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-29-5.36118.28Sep 2, 9:26 PM ET9:55 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:26 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-29-5.36118.28Sep 2, 9:26 PM ET9:55 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:26 PM ET-19.439
Projected value at 9:55 PM ET-0.636197
Actual value at 9:55 PM ET11.5765
Projected change across the window+18.8028
Actual change across the window+31.0154
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.61×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.61 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (9:35 PM ET), where they sat 4.5764 apart, and furthest at bar 18 (9:44 PM ET) with a gap of 31.8246. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (9:36 PM ET), a move of +9.73603. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:27 PM-4.90196-21.1412-16.2392
69:32 PM-15.6304-32.1779-16.5475
129:38 PM-14.24494.76985+19.0148
189:44 PM-10.512821.3118+31.8246
249:50 PM-6.4597415.8059+22.2656
299:55 PM-0.63619711.5765+12.2127

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.