Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 9:15 PM to 9:44 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 9:15 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 4.76985. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:44 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.68510.9520.21Sep 2, 9:15 PM ET9:44 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:15 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.68510.9520.21Sep 2, 9:15 PM ET9:44 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:15 PM ET4.76985
Projected value at 9:44 PM ET0.440437
Actual value at 9:44 PM ET7.98824
Projected change across the window-4.32942
Actual change across the window+3.21838
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.35×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.35 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 5 (9:19 PM ET), where they sat 0.457754 apart, and furthest at bar 26 (9:41 PM ET) with a gap of 13.3557. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (9:16 PM ET), a move of +5.61985. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:16 PM16.239910.3897-5.85024
69:21 PM14.953221.3118+6.35859
129:27 PM10.409915.8059+5.39599
189:33 PM5.0213510.7757+5.75438
249:39 PM1.6637214.8404+13.1767
299:44 PM0.4404377.98824+7.5478

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.