Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 6:04 PM to 6:33 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 6:04 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 17.2809. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:33 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-14.620.325415.27Sep 2, 6:04 PM ET6:33 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:04 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-14.620.325415.27Sep 2, 6:04 PM ET6:33 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:04 PM ET17.2809
Projected value at 6:33 PM ET0.341618
Actual value at 6:33 PM ET-7.52132
Projected change across the window-16.9393
Actual change across the window-24.8022
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.68×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.68 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (6:13 PM ET), where they sat 1.03035 apart, and furthest at bar 19 (6:23 PM ET) with a gap of 17.3782. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (6:16 PM ET), a move of -4.07206. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:05 PM0.42978115.5647+15.1349
66:10 PM0.1012833.85368+3.75239
126:16 PM-0.046612-10.636-10.5894
186:22 PM0.245754-16.3346-16.5803
246:28 PM1.19754-7.97647-9.17401
296:33 PM0.341618-7.52132-7.86294

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.