Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 4:36 PM to 5:05 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 4:36 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -22.3375. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:05 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-19.91-1.86516.18Sep 2, 4:36 PM ET5:05 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:36 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-19.91-1.86516.18Sep 2, 4:36 PM ET5:05 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:36 PM ET-22.3375
Projected value at 5:05 PM ET1.80285
Actual value at 5:05 PM ET-1.14191
Projected change across the window+24.1403
Actual change across the window+21.1956
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.14×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.14 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (4:42 PM ET), where they sat 0.261408 apart, and furthest at bar 19 (4:55 PM ET) with a gap of 17.7167. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (5:05 PM ET), a move of -6.83015. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:37 PM-13.6928-20.0213-6.32855
64:42 PM-7.07244-6.81103+0.261408
124:48 PM0.3937481.62868+1.23493
184:54 PM1.0597117.2515+16.1918
245:00 PM1.5982113.0765+11.4783
295:05 PM1.80285-1.14191-2.94476

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.