Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 4:32 PM to 5:01 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 4:32 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -22.3375. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:01 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-19.91-1.86516.18Sep 2, 4:32 PM ET5:01 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:32 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-19.91-1.86516.18Sep 2, 4:32 PM ET5:01 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:32 PM ET-22.3375
Projected value at 5:01 PM ET-0.207037
Actual value at 5:01 PM ET-1.14191
Projected change across the window+22.1305
Actual change across the window+21.1956
Bars moving the same direction25 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.04×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.04 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 86% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 2 (4:33 PM ET), where they sat 0.272549 apart, and furthest at bar 21 (4:53 PM ET) with a gap of 19.1753. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 29 (5:01 PM ET), a move of -6.83015. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:33 PM-20.2939-20.0213+0.272549
64:38 PM-15.1848-6.81103+8.37373
124:44 PM-5.922761.62868+7.55144
184:50 PM-0.17642117.2515+17.4279
244:56 PM-0.66922213.0765+13.7457
295:01 PM-0.207037-1.14191-0.934875

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.