Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 4:13 PM to 4:42 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 4:13 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 15.6316. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:42 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-27.69-5.99615.69Sep 2, 4:13 PM ET4:42 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:13 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-27.69-5.99615.69Sep 2, 4:13 PM ET4:42 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:13 PM ET15.6316
Projected value at 4:42 PM ET-0.320819
Actual value at 4:42 PM ET-3.29338
Projected change across the window-15.9524
Actual change across the window-18.925
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.84×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.84 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (4:25 PM ET), where they sat 1.02753 apart, and furthest at bar 22 (4:35 PM ET) with a gap of 31.11. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (4:27 PM ET), a move of -7.60074. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:14 PM10.904516.1794+5.27487
64:19 PM7.8552618.5235+10.6683
124:25 PM4.660715.68824+1.02753
184:31 PM1.75866-24.4676-26.2263
244:37 PM-0.324908-27.6265-27.3016
294:42 PM-0.320819-3.29338-2.97256

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.