Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 2, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 2, 2026, 4:12 PM to 4:41 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 2, 2026 at 4:12 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 16.1794. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:41 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-27.69-5.99615.69Sep 2, 4:12 PM ET4:41 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:12 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-27.69-5.99615.69Sep 2, 4:12 PM ET4:41 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:12 PM ET16.1794
Projected value at 4:41 PM ET-0.638201
Actual value at 4:41 PM ET-0.414706
Projected change across the window-16.8176
Actual change across the window-16.5941
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.01×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.01 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (4:41 PM ET), where they sat 0.223495 apart, and furthest at bar 21 (4:33 PM ET) with a gap of 28.5072. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (4:25 PM ET), a move of -7.60074. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:13 PM10.625117.2515+6.62635
64:18 PM4.1955215.7838+11.5883
124:24 PM1.78753-1.14191-2.92945
184:30 PM-1.29211-25.6735-24.3814
244:36 PM-2.17551-22.8588-20.6833
294:41 PM-0.638201-0.414706+0.223495

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.